Saturday, December 31, 2011

Regulatory failure.. (or perhaps not)


"... Well, it’s really an incredible case study in regulation because something called OFHEO was set up in 1992 by Congress, and the sole job of OFHEO was to watch over Fannie and Freddie, someone to watch over them. And they were there to evaluate the soundness and the accounting and all of that. Two companies were all they had to regulate. OFHEO has over 200 employees now. They have a budget now that’s $65 million a year, and all they have to do is look at two companies. I mean, you know, I look at more than two companies.

And they sat there, made reports to the Congress, you can get them on the Internet, every year. And, in fact, they reported to Sarbanes and Oxley every year. And they went–wrote 100 page reports, and they said, ‘We’ve looked at these people and their standards are fine and their directors are fine and everything was fine.’ And then all of a sudden you had two of the greatest accounting misstatements in history. You had all kinds of management malfeasance, and it all came out.

And, of course, the classic thing was that after it all came out, OFHEO wrote a 350–340 page report examining what went wrong, and they blamed the management, they blamed the directors, they blamed the audit committee. They didn’t have a word in there about themselves, and they’re the ones that 200 people were going to work every day with just two companies to think about. It just shows the problems of regulation..."

- Warren Buffet interview, see That Awesome Warren Buffett CNBC Interview

When asked if this was an argument against regulation, he responded:

"... it's an argument that managing complex financial institutions where the management wants to deceive you can be very, very difficult. Or even when the management doesn't know what's going on, and--just take Bear Stearns. Bear Stearns had--I read it, anyway--750,000 derivative contracts. Now, you know, I could clone Albert Einstein, you know, and--many, many times and have him work 12-hour days for me and he would not be able to keep track of what's going on in an institution like that. It's--the ones that are too big to fail may be too big to manage, in some cases. And they're particularly difficult to manage if they're promising Wall Street and their investors that they're going to do things that can't be done..."


Note: some have pointed out that OFHEO was actually doing was it was designed to do...

Random chart - Congressional wealth

Source: Financial wealth distribution as a percentage of Congress and Senate

Random charts - "Buffet tax"

Source: Millionaires Support Warren Buffett’s Tax on the Rich


Source: Stormy Political Climate Biggest Concern to Millionaire Investors

Thursday, December 29, 2011

Flubbed prediction

The February 18, 2008 blog entry, 'Independence! Wave the Kosovo Albanian flag...' wondered what the reaction might be if/when the Kosovars decided that they wanted to merge with Albania... Well, fortunately this hasn't happened, and 'Albania's Berisha: Union With Kosovo Not An Option' would seem to indicate that it is unlikely...

Random chart - top earners

Source: Jobs and Income Growth of Top Earners and the Causes of Changing Income Inequality: Evidence from U.S. Tax Return Data

"... In this paper, we have presented for the first time complete information on the occupations of very high‐income people, and on how the incomes of top earners in different occupations have grown over time.."

Great quote


"While edge weapons such as swords remain a prohibited item, it will not cause catastrophic damage on an aircraft"

- TSA spokesman Luis Cassanova, after airport screeners allowed a 14 inch sword in a cane to pass through the security checkpoint...