Random charts - provider outlook

 

Source: BDO CFO Outlook Survey: Healthcare: Treating Healthcare Distress (13-pg PDF)

Random charts - CEO outlook

Source:  PwC's 23rd Annual Global CEO Survey - Navigating the rising tide of uncertainty

Random charts - health disruption

Source: Six assumptions for measuring health disruption (14-pg PDF)

Random chart - wearables

Source: IDTechEx Research Forecasts $19.7 Billion Market for Medical Wearables by 2024

Random charts - health trends

 

Source: Stanford Medicine 2018 Health Trends Report: The Democratization of Health Care (19-pg PDF)

Random charts - longevity

Source: Longevity Industry Landscape Overview 2017

Random charts - cardiology innovation

Source: 2017 Roadmap for Innovation—ACC Health Policy Statement on Healthcare Transformation in the Era of Digital Health, Big Data, and Precision Health

Random charts - income mobility

 

Source: The fading American dream: Trends in absolute income mobility since 1940

"... We estimated rates of “absolute income mobility”—the fraction of children who earn more than their parents—by combining data from U.S. Census and Current Population Survey cross sections with panel data from de-identified tax records. We found that rates of absolute mobility have fallen from approximately 90% for children born in 1940 to 50% for children born in the 1980s. Increasing Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rates alone cannot restore absolute mobility to the rates experienced by children born in the 1940s. However, distributing current GDP growth more equally across income groups as in the 1940 birth cohort would reverse more than 70% of the decline in mobility. These results imply that reviving the “American dream” of high rates of absolute mobility would require economic growth that is shared more broadly across the income distribution..."

Eh?

I recently saw this in my Twitter timeline and watched this video: Watch: Ray Kurzweil Predicts When We’ll Be Able to Program Matter

OK, so this guy is widely recognized as a genius, but watching this I found it made no sense to me at all. Most of the time he seemed to be conflating two different things. OK, so a foglet of nano-robots I can go for... and that they could be programmed to do different things (assemble to form a couch, reassemble to form a chair, etc.), OK, all very reasonable. But how exactly does that constitute man being able to "program matter" as claimed?

He then goes on that "you can transform yourself... project yourself into a space that is far away..." Eh? Is it I can "project myself" or I can project an avatar of myself? The two are not exactly the same! Once again, projecting an avatar is uncontroversial, but "projecting myself" is in the realm of science fiction...

He goes on, that by the 2040's "You could reconfigure yourself into a completely different person... you can look like someone else..." and that "...what is doable in virtual reality will be doable in real reality..." Again, am I re-configuring my nano-based avatar to look like someone else (OK), or does he actually mean what he is (literally) saying? "A couple could become each other...", etc.  I, for one, am willing to say that will not be possible in "real reality"

Random charts - next generation

 

 

Source: Public divided on prospects for the next generation

Random chart - healthcare costs

Source: National Health Expenditure Projections, 2016–25: Price Increases, Aging Push Sector To 20 Percent Of Economy (12-pg PDF)

Abstract: "Under current law, national health expenditures are projected to grow at an average annual rate of 5.6 percent for 2016–25 and represent 19.9 percent of gross domestic product by 2025. For 2016, national health expenditure growth is anticipated to have slowed 1.1 percentage points to 4.8 percent, as a result of slower Medicaid and prescription drug spending growth. For the rest of the projection period, faster projected growth in medical prices is partly offset by slower projected growth in the use and intensity of medical goods and services, relative to that observed in 2014–16 associated with the Affordable Care Act coverage expansions. The insured share of the population is projected to increase from 90.9 percent in 2015 to 91.5 percent by 2025."

Random chart - EVs

Source: For Tesla, Electric Car Sales Explode In All The Wrong Places 

"More than 2 million electric vehicles may be on the world’s roads by the end of 2016, writes the Guardian, citing data from the electric vehicle world database EV Volumes. That should be good news for electric carmaker Tesla. It is not. A closer look at the data shows that most of the growth comes from Tesla competitors, and from regions where Tesla is weak. It is a stereotype “that the U.S. market is further ahead in deploying the zero-emission technology thanks to cars such as the Tesla Model S,”  writes Automotive News. As far as Tesla is concerned, electric vehicle sales are exploding in all the wrong places...." Read the rest here.

Random chart - future cities

Source: City Of The Future: Technology & Mobility (36-pg PDF)

Random charts - global risks

 

Source: Refugee crises, climate change are top risks in next 10 years, experts say

Random chart - "frictionless commerce"

Source: The Digital Future of Retail Financial Services

"The rise of “frictionless commerce,” in which consumer purchases are automatically initiated without an explicit purchase decision, instead made with the consumer’s advance consent, using real-time, integrated data from preferences, past behaviors, sensors, and other sources of contextual data..."

Random charts - religions

 

Source: The Future of World Religions: Population Growth Projections, 2010-2050

 

"If current trends continue, by 2050 …

• The number of Muslims will nearly equal the number of Christians around the world.
• Atheists, agnostics and other people who do not affiliate with any religion – though increasing in countries such as the United States and France – will make up a declining share of the world’s total population.
• The global Buddhist population will be about the same size it was in 2010, while the Hindu and Jewish populations will be larger than they are today.
• In Europe, Muslims will make up 10% of the overall population.
• India will retain a Hindu majority but also will have the largest Muslim population of any country in the world, surpassing Indonesia.
• In the United States, Christians will decline from more than three-quarters of the population in 2010 to two-thirds in 2050, and Judaism will no longer be the largest non-Christian religion. Muslims will be more numerous in the U.S. than people who identify as Jewish on the basis of religion.
• Four out of every 10 Christians in the world will live in sub-Saharan Africa."

Random charts - optimism

 

Source: Americans' Personal Financial Assessments Up Sharply

Random charts - Health mkt 2.0

 

 

 

Source: The Patient-To-Consumer Revolution (40-pg PDF)

Random charts - hosp consolidation

 

 

Source: The great consolidation: The potential for rapid consolidation of health system (16-pg PDF)

Also vapor?

The July 24th, 2013 blog entry 'And the answer... (AI watch)' noted that this was vaporware (with a heavy sigh of regret). Well, we have another cool-looking watch, the RIST watch, that has the same flavor as the defunct AI watch. Alas, is this one also mere vapor?