Saturday, October 25, 2008

The elephant (and donkey) in the room

Congress has held further hearings into the causes of the current financial crisis. The latest to be hauled in front of either Senate or House panels were the heads of the ratings agencies, and the former head of the Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan (along with the former Treasury Secretary John Snow, and the current SEC Chairman Christopher Cox).

'Crashing the party' noted that the ratings agencies should figure among those with some responsibility for the crisis. Their turn came when the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee held a hearing to grill the heads of Moody's, Standard & Poor's, and Fitch Ratings.

Greenspan was hauled before the House Oversight Committee, where his reception was significantly less deferential than in past times...


So, Congress has held a number of "show trials" to grill many of those that have had a part in the run up to the current crisis... However, they have not yet shown a willingness to take a look at their own (significant) role in this crisis... This bunch of 'Louis Renaults' are "shocked, shocked" at what happened and are busy rounding up the usual suspects...

Great quotes...

"... Treasury is committed to an open and transparent program with appropriate oversight ..." - Neel Kashkari, Interim Assistant Secretary for Financial Stability, in remarks to the Institute of International Bankers, October 13th. (Part of the TARP...)

However, as shown by the links below, multiple documents released by Treasury have significant portions blacked out or redacted, for example the amount that will be paid to the Bank of New York Mellon to keep the books for the government’s purchase of toxic securities....

Blacked Out
The End of Bailout Transparency Already?
More bailout contracts contain blacked out portions
Why are Docs From the Bailout Being Redacted?

Friday, October 24, 2008

Newspaper endorsements...

Neat interactive map of newspapers across the United States that have editorial endorsements of either Senator Obama or Senator McCain for president, along with their 2004 endorsement and circulations...

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Say what?

The Wall Street Journal reports that "Federal prosecutors probing the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. have subpoenaed other Wall Street securities firms, seeking information about whether their analysts were mislead by Lehman about its financial health, according to people familiar with the matter ..." OK, let me get this straight, the Feds are asking securities analysts if they totally screwed up their analysis or if they were 'mislead' by Lehman (a defunct firm) employees. Hmm, let me think a moment... which answer are they more likely to give?

Europeana

The EU is launching a web site, Europeana (in November) to create a digital, on-line encyclopedia cataloging European culture. "... What an EU commissioner has in mind is a rich digital encyclopedia of Europe's cultural heritage. "Europeana" is an ambitious project to digitize large portions of the continent's national libraries and put as much of European civilization as possible -- books, maps, paintings, photos, films -- online for free ..."

EU Plans Backup Copy of European Civilization

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Crisis unfolding...

The MOAB ("mother of all bailouts") proceeds apace. Treasury Secretary Paulson has dipped into his $700 billion piggy bank and is injecting capital directly into a number of banks - USD 125 billion to nine major banks. He is being criticized for being too "kind" and making this almost a 'no strings attached' infusion, since in return the government gets non-voting, non-convertible, callable, preferred shares that have a poor dividend rate. The criticisms include:
  • The government gets no seats on these institution's boards (as opposed, for example, to others who have similarly invested in some of these banks e.g. Mitsubishi UFJ, a major Japanese bank, that will be investing USD 9 billion in Goldman Sachs...)
  • These preferred shares are non-convertible i.e. can not be converted into common shares
  • They are also callable in three years, at terms favorable to the banks...
  • They pay an interest rate of only 5% (Warren Buffet got a rate of 10% for his similar investment)
  • The plan does not require that the banks suspend dividend payouts (presumably if the banks are in a weak credit situation it doesn't make sense for them to payout to shareholders...)
Additionally, it is not clear that the banks will resume lending (i.e. unblock the credit freeze) even when they get these funds, versus simply shoring up their balance sheets. And, as the underlying assets continue to loose value (since housing prices are still going down in many markets!) it seems to this blogger that this "help" is temporary in nature (and thus might have to be reprised further down the road!).

Meanwhile, hasn't the Federal Reserve already been extending funds to banks and other entities at a prodigious rate (see graph below)? Per Economist's View "... Before the crisis began, the Fed had $868 billion of assets, 91 percent of them in innocuous Treasury bills and bonds. Now it has $1.6 trillion in assets, with less than 30 percent of them in Treasuries; the remaining assets are mostly in the form of loans to banks, securities firms, AIG, foreign central banks, commercial-paper programs and so on ..." Oh well, they have another USD 575 billion to "play" with!


Churchill’s Dictum
Banks Are Likely to Hold Tight to Bailout Money
The Guys From ‘Government Sachs’
This Bailout Doesn’t Pay Dividends
Bernanke is fighting the last war

Previous 32 related blog entries collected at 'All together now.'

Amazing photos...

'Cool macro photos' (see above) linked to the winning phots from a Wired photo competition... Equally amazing are the winners of 'Best microscopic images of 2008' (e.g. the picture below of a leaf beetle, taken by retired Canadian entomologist Klaus Bolte)...

... as are the winners of 'The best science photos of 2008' determined by the National Science Foundation in conjunction with the journal Science (see below for a photo of suckers on the tentacle of a squid, taken by Jessica Schiffman, a Drexel University doctoral student)